Ryan Blaney did not win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway yesterday, but his second place finish ahead of Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Christopher Bell was all he needed to secure his first ever championship in NASCAR's top series.
So why am I not more excited? I'm happy, yes, but I'm not over the moon beside myself. Blaney is a phenomenal driver and is absolutely deserving of a championship trophy. Yet, NASCAR's way of deciding the championship is to pit the top-16 drivers who have won at least one race during the first 26 races of the season, plus any driver in the top-16 in points if there are less than 16 winners, against each other in elimination style playoffs for the final ten races. Three rounds are divided into three races each. If a playoff driver wins, they automatically advance to the next round. The four drivers who have accumulated the least amount of points without a win after each round are eliminated from championship contention until only four drivers are left to race against each other in the final race of the season. The champion is whoever finishes ahead of the other three drivers.
Simple, right?
Except under these rules, you can win every race leading up to the finale and still lose the championship. Or you can be pretty average over the first 26 races and then have a surge in performance over the last ten as Blaney did.
Blaney qualified for the playoffs due to his victory at the Coca-Cola 600 back in May. He made it through the Round of 16 despite finishes of ninth, twelfth, and twenty-second. The Round of 12 started with a twenty-eighth place finish at Texas, but a win next week at Talladega automatically qualified him for the Round of 8. Blaney then scored three consectutive finishes inside the top six including a win at the penultimate race in Martinsville to lock himself into the Championship Four.
It's been ten years since NASCAR began using these playoffs to crown champions and twenty years since the sanctioning body first moved away from the traditional championship format that had been in place starting in 1971. You know, the one where drivers accumulate points based on their performance throughout the entire season, and the champion is the driver who has scored the most points by the end of the final race.
After 2003, NASCAR decided the old system wasn't good enough to generate the "game seven" excitement it was looking for in the final race of the season. Blame Matt Kenseth, who won the 2003 championship despite only winning one race that year. Kenseth's consistency throughout the season meant that he topped the points standings four races into the season and never looked back. By contrast, Kenseth won more races than any driver in 2002, yet only ranked eighth in the final standings.
Some dedicated fans have calculated championship points under the old format over the last two decades, and the results may be surprising. Jeff Gordon, not Jimmie Johnson, would have seven championships to his name. And Kevin Harvick, who wrapped up his 23-year career after yesterday's race, would have been a four-time champion.
For this year, William Byron would have won the championship by a 17 point margin over Denny Hamlin, 33 points over Chris Buescher, and 42 points over Christopher Bell. Ryan Blaney would have finished the season in seventh, 196 points back.
A deeper look into this season's statistics lends authenticity to this claim. In 2023, Byron led the field with 6 wins, 15 top fives, 21 top tens, and an average finish of 10.97. Blaney won 3 races and scored 8 top fives and 18 top tens with an average finish of 14.08.
Debate over the legitimacy of using playoffs to crown NASCAR champions has gone back and forth for years. All I will add is the fact that twenty years have passed and no other racing series has adopted a similar format in deciding its champions. That alone should tell people all they need to know about the ridiculousness of NASCAR's system.
We've reached a point where I think individual race wins mean more than championships in NASCAR's top series. I would say that Blaney's high water mark this year was winning the Coca-Cola 600, snapping a 59-race winless streak. He showed more emotion in that post race interview and revealed more about his mental state over the months leading up to that win than he did during his championship interview in Phoenix. When I think back on 2023, I will remember that moment just as fondly as I will Blaney hoisting the championship trophy alongside his family, team, and friends.
